Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HSA
2 - 3
MCA
41%
21%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MCA
5 - 0
ALF
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 1
CHF
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -14 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 2
BEN
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +13 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CPK
4 - 2
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
1 - 0
ALF
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 3
CHF
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 2
BEN
3%
9%
89%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | +12 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 7
CPK
40%
21%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -14 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LAI
2 - 3
PSP
45%
22%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |