Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LLM
0 - 7
MCA
47%
21%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MCA
2 - 0
BEN
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CPK
0 - 5
MCA
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MCA
1 - 0
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
KTM
1 - 5
MCA
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
PSP
0 - 2
GLP
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
WAK
5 - 2
PSP
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
KLM
1 - 3
PSP
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PSP
0 - 0
LLM
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
PSP
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |