Monte Carlo vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MCA
3 - 1
FCP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 2
MCA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WAK
4 - 2
MCA
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GLP
0 - 2
MCA
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MCA
3 - 0
LLM
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
LLM
1 - 1
PSP
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
PSP
0 - 3
FCP
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PSP
2 - 1
HNM
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
PSP
1 - 5
MAC
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PSP
1 - 0
HFM
41%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |