Monte Carlo vs Lam Ieng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MCA
7 - 0
HNM
74%
15%
10%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 1
HFM
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 0
GDA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
PSP
0 - 0
MCA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 1
MCA
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lam Ieng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LLM
3 - 4
FCP
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LLM
0 - 2
MAC
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LLM
0 - 4
WAK
34%
23%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LLM
1 - 4
GLP
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
PSP
1 - 0
LLM
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |