Monte Carlo vs Kei Lun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
58%
19%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PSP
0 - 5
MCA
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MCA
0 - 4
BEN
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
CPK
0 - 5
MCA
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
2 - 1
MCA
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 3
PSP
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
KLM
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 1
CPK
54%
19%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
4 - 1
KLM
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
CPO
1 - 2
KLM
56%
19%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +11 |