Monte Carlo vs Kei Lun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MCA
10 - 0
MAC
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
WAK
1 - 2
MCA
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
MCA
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PSP
1 - 1
MCA
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kei Lun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BEN
11 - 0
KLM
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PSP
2 - 1
KLM
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 3
SMA
25%
21%
53%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
2 - 7
CPK
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 4
LAI
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |