Monte Carlo vs Hoi Fan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
PSP
0 - 3
MCA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MUM
0 - 3
MCA
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MCA
7 - 2
HTM
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MCA
5 - 1
GLP
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VCM
4 - 3
MCA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
HFM
2 - 4
MUM
51%
23%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
HTM
1 - 2
HFM
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
HFM
0 - 2
GLP
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
HFM
1 - 0
VCM
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VLM
0 - 4
HFM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |