Monte Carlo vs FC Porto (Macao) analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
MCA
3 - 3
GLP
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
PSP
0 - 1
MCA
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
MCA
1 - 0
WAK
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LLM
1 - 4
MCA
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MCA
3 - 1
KTM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Porto (Macao)
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 0
PSP
52%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
WAK
2 - 2
FCP
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 1
LLM
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
KTM
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
FCP
3 - 0
MAC
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |