Monte Carlo vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
66.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 2
CHF
65%
19%
17%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MCA
3 - 2
HSA
89%
7%
4%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MCA
4 - 1
CPK
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 3
WAK
47%
21%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
BEN
3%
9%
88%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
BEN
4 - 0
WAK
81%
12%
7%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
CDT
1 - 5
BEN
7%
12%
81%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
SMA
3 - 2
BEN
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
PSP
93%
6%
2%
|
52 | 12 | 40 | 0 |