Monte Carlo vs Cheng Fung analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MCA
3 - 2
HSA
89%
7%
4%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MCA
4 - 1
CPK
15%
18%
67%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 3
WAK
47%
21%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 3
MCA
25%
20%
55%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
CHF
2 - 2
CPK
12%
17%
71%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
WAK
1 - 2
CHF
58%
19%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 4
CHF
35%
21%
44%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
CDT
3 - 2
CHF
32%
21%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
CHF
3 - 1
BEN
8%
13%
79%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |