Monte Carlo vs Cheng Fung analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 2
BEN
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CPK
4 - 2
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MCA
4 - 0
LAI
74%
14%
13%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
WAK
2 - 0
MCA
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
64%
17%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 3
CHF
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
HSA
0 - 1
CHF
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CHF
0 - 7
BEN
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CPK
1 - 1
CHF
53%
20%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CHF
6 - 1
LAI
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |