Monte Carlo vs Cheng Fung analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 1
PSP
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
2 - 0
KLM
59%
18%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CPK
0 - 2
MCA
51%
20%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
4 - 1
SMA
62%
18%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
WAK
1 - 1
CHF
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHF
3 - 1
MAC
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LAI
2 - 2
CHF
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SMA
1 - 2
CHF
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHF
0 - 1
PSP
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |