Monte Carlo vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
82%
10%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CPO
3 - 1
MCA
42%
20%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CPK
11 - 1
MCA
76%
13%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 2
PSP
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
MCA
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 3
LUL
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 1
LUL
50%
20%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
TCK
2 - 0
LUL
65%
17%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
HSA
1 - 3
LUL
32%
20%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
LUL
1 - 5
CHF
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |