Monte Carlo vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.9%
7.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
5 - 1
MCA
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 1
WAK
63%
17%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CPO
4 - 4
MCA
37%
20%
43%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 4
CHF
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
3 - 1
LUL
13%
16%
72%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
10 - 0
LUL
88%
9%
4%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
LUL
1 - 6
SMA
23%
19%
58%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
WAK
3 - 1
LUL
57%
19%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LUL
3 - 4
CPO
40%
21%
39%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |