Monte Carlo vs Casa de Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 5
CPK
40%
21%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PSP
1 - 1
MCA
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
62%
19%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
LUL
4 - 1
MCA
23%
19%
58%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Casa de Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
BEN
6 - 2
CPO
66%
16%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
TCK
2 - 1
CPO
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CPO
0 - 12
CPK
49%
19%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -3 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PSP
0 - 0
CPO
22%
19%
59%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CPO
2 - 1
SMA
63%
17%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |