Monte B vs Fortuna Camargo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
65.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
MNT
3 - 2
MER
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AFR
3 - 2
MNT
74%
14%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MNT
0 - 6
CAS
52%
21%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
7 - 2
MNT
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MNT
0 - 4
MDC
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 8
FOC
8%
14%
77%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FOC
1 - 0
MER
69%
17%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 0
FOC
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FOC
2 - 1
AFR
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
2 - 2
FOC
25%
21%
55%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |