Monte B vs Fortuna Camargo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 3
MNT
21%
20%
60%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SRO
0 - 4
MNT
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MNT
2 - 0
MDC
72%
15%
13%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
MNT
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MNT
3 - 2
CAS
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
FOC
2 - 3
MDC
79%
12%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
FOC
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FOC
1 - 4
CAS
39%
20%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SJU
0 - 1
FOC
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FOC
1 - 1
AFR
66%
17%
17%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |