Monte B vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
44.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MDC
3 - 3
MNT
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MNT
0 - 2
LIE
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 3
MNT
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MNT
3 - 3
VEL
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 5
MNT
23%
20%
58%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
MER
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AFR
3 - 0
CAS
24%
19%
57%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 2
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
FOC
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MDC
1 - 2
CAS
20%
18%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |