Monte B vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
48.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 1
MNT
19%
19%
61%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MNT
2 - 1
AFR
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
MNT
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MNT
2 - 1
LIE
31%
21%
48%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JDM
4 - 2
MNT
65%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 0
MDC
75%
14%
10%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 5
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SRO
2 - 2
CAS
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
SJU
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AFR
1 - 2
CAS
25%
20%
55%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |