Monte B vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
58%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
MNT
85%
10%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MNT
1 - 4
JDM
22%
21%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GNZ
5 - 1
MNT
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MNT
5 - 0
RIO
48%
21%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
MNT
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
7 - 0
MDC
71%
16%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAS
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAS
36%
21%
42%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 1
CAS
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
AFR
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |