Metelinense vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+262%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 2
MET
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAD
1 - 3
MET
14%
18%
69%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
CDA
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ASQ
0 - 2
MET
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MET
9 - 0
CAC
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 4
PUL
19%
19%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PUL
1 - 0
PAL
69%
17%
15%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PUL
0 - 0
TRU
41%
22%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PUL
1 - 1
MIA
24%
24%
52%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 3
PUL
30%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |