Metelinense vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
59%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CDN
6 - 0
MET
84%
10%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
MET
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MET
0 - 2
ESC
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ROC
3 - 1
MET
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MET
1 - 0
TRU
56%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PUL
1 - 1
BAR
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 1
PUL
40%
21%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PUL
2 - 1
PVA
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
PUL
21%
19%
60%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
PUL
0 - 0
CDC
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |