CD Melipilla vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2002 |
CDM
2 - 3
DLS
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
EVE
1 - 1
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
CDM
2 - 1
OVA
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 0
NTA
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
ULC
2 - 1
CDM
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
UCO
3 - 1
DLS
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 1
UCO
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
OVA
1 - 3
UCO
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |