CD Melipilla vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
NTA
0 - 2
CDM
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CDM
3 - 1
DLS
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDM
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
CDM
0 - 2
NTA
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
CDM
1 - 0
DLI
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 1
EVE
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
3 - 0
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 0
DEP
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
CDP
1 - 0
UCO
62%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |