CD Melipilla vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
7 - 0
CDM
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 2
FVC
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 2
CDM
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 2
CDM
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
DCO
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
CSD
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
DER
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |