CD Melipilla vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
9º
2º
40
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 1
CDM
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 0
IQU
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
DSC
2 - 1
CDM
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
7 - 0
CDM
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
FVC
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 3
COB
25%
28%
47%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
FVC
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 2
FVC
46%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |