CD Melipilla vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
4 - 2
CDM
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
DEP
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 2
CDM
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 2
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
CDM
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 2
DCO
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 1
FVC
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 1
MAG
15%
25%
60%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
FVC
0 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IQU
0 - 0
FVC
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |