CD Melipilla vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 0
CDM
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SAU
2 - 1
CDM
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LOT
1 - 0
CDM
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CDM
3 - 0
DSC
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
BAR
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
SAU
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CHG
2 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |