Marchamalo B vs Hogar Alcarreño B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+256%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marchamalo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
USA
0 - 2
MAR
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
HOR
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DAM
2 - 1
MAR
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
GUA
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
HOG
26%
21%
52%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hogar Alcarreño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HOG
2 - 0
JAD
51%
20%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CIF
3 - 1
HOG
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HOG
1 - 1
RAY
46%
21%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPC
2 - 2
HOG
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
HOG
26%
21%
52%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |