CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
JUT
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RSO
2 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
MOT
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VID
1 - 0
MAR
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
RES
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
HNP
3 - 1
RES
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JUT
4 - 1
HNP
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
HNP
3 - 5
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RSO
3 - 0
HNP
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
SOC
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |