CD Marathón vs Real de Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
MOT
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 2
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 0
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
6 - 0
HNP
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
RDM
4 - 2
JUT
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
HNP
3 - 2
RDM
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 2
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 1
RDM
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
VID
0 - 2
RDM
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |