Honduras Apertura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-4
CD Marathón vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
49%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
RES
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
VID
2 - 2
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
RSO
72%
19%
9%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 2
OLI
18%
25%
57%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
OLI
4 - 0
MOT
42%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
LDA
2 - 2
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
LDA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |