Mar Abierto vs Sporting de Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mar Abierto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VVB
1 - 1
MAB
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAB
0 - 3
RAY
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SEU
2 - 3
MAB
40%
21%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAB
2 - 0
RVM
26%
19%
55%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
MAB
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting de Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 2
BMA
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EMF
4 - 1
SPO
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
7 - 3
ROS
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RVI
7 - 2
SPO
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 4
SPO
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |