CD Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
CFC
3 - 0
MAL
53%
22%
26%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
LEV
2 - 0
MAL
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
UDL
2 - 0
MAL
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MAL
4 - 1
REC
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
RJA
6 - 2
REC
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
CAD
2 - 1
RJA
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
RJA
3 - 0
ALB
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 0
RJA
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
RJA
0 - 1
CCF
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |