CD Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
MEL
0 - 5
MAL
36%
24%
41%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
MAL
4 - 0
ALG
84%
10%
6%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
COR
0 - 1
MAL
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
MAL
6 - 1
GAD
86%
9%
5%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
MAL
4 - 0
CAT
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
RJA
1 - 0
BAL
73%
15%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
REC
5 - 2
RJA
62%
19%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
RCD
2 - 0
RJA
54%
21%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
RJA
1 - 1
RCD
66%
17%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ALG
1 - 2
RJA
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |