CD Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
10.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
BAL
1 - 2
MAL
32%
23%
45%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
MAL
1 - 1
RCD
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
REC
0 - 3
MAL
55%
20%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
MAL
4 - 1
LIN
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ALG
1 - 3
MAL
34%
23%
43%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
RJA
2 - 1
CAT
52%
21%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
RJA
4 - 1
GAD
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
BAL
2 - 2
RJA
45%
22%
33%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
RJA
4 - 3
RCD
70%
16%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
REC
4 - 0
RJA
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |