CD Mafra U19 vs Peniche U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
22
5º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mafra U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 2
CDF
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 4
MAF
7%
14%
79%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 2
RSC
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
6 - 1
EPO
91%
7%
2%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAC
0 - 0
MAF
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
RSC
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 4
PEN
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 3
LOU
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
EPO
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CDF
2 - 0
PEN
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |