CD Mafra U19 vs Estrela Portalegre U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.6%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
3º
1º
7
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Mafra U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAC
0 - 0
MAF
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
4 - 1
EST
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 4
MAF
16%
18%
66%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
EPO
1 - 5
MAF
6%
12%
83%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDF
2 - 3
MAF
27%
21%
52%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Portalegre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 0
EPO
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EPO
2 - 1
LOU
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
EPO
1 - 1
CDF
8%
13%
79%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
EPO
1 - 5
MAF
6%
12%
83%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EPO
0 - 3
RSC
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |