Machuka vs RCD Gara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
CDV
0 - 0
MAC
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ANC
0 - 4
MAC
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SJE
1 - 2
MAC
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 1
UDR
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 0
ZAM
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
RCD Gara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
GAR
2 - 0
SJE
51%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GAR
1 - 2
ZAM
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CJS
0 - 1
GAR
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 2
SAU
38%
22%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
VTA
2 - 2
GAR
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |