Machuka vs UD Hidalgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
VTA
3 - 1
MAC
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 0
ORO
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PER
0 - 5
MAC
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
4 - 0
VER
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
INT
0 - 0
MAC
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Hidalgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
HID
2 - 0
ORO
83%
11%
5%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
VER
1 - 2
HID
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HID
0 - 0
GAR
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
SJE
0 - 1
HID
25%
21%
55%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
HID
1 - 0
ZAM
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |