Machuka vs Sauzal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
52.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
HID
2 - 1
MAC
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MAC
4 - 0
VTA
65%
17%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 4
MAC
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAC
2 - 0
PER
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
VER
2 - 2
MAC
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sauzal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
VTA
2 - 2
SAU
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 0
PER
79%
13%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
INT
2 - 2
SAU
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SAU
2 - 0
ANC
77%
13%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
UDR
1 - 4
SAU
21%
19%
60%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |