Machuka vs CD San Jerónimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
UDR
0 - 5
MAC
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
ZAM
0 - 3
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
3 - 1
CDV
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CJS
0 - 1
MAC
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAC
3 - 0
BNV
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Jerónimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
SJE
0 - 2
ZAM
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CJS
3 - 0
SJE
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
SJE
0 - 1
SAU
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
VTA
2 - 1
SJE
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
SJE
3 - 0
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |