Machuka vs CD Buenavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
SAU
4 - 0
MAC
57%
19%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 1
HID
37%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
VTA
3 - 1
MAC
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 0
ORO
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
PER
0 - 5
MAC
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CD Buenavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BNV
1 - 0
HID
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ORO
0 - 2
BNV
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BNV
1 - 2
VER
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
GAR
1 - 1
BNV
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BNV
2 - 0
SJE
54%
20%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |