Lun Lok vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
58.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-120%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
7 - 0
LUL
77%
12%
11%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CPK
9 - 0
LUL
74%
13%
13%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LUL
2 - 2
CPO
30%
19%
51%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
LUL
2 - 3
HSA
56%
19%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 2
LUL
81%
11%
8%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 0
TCK
56%
19%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHF
1 - 0
MCA
44%
20%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MCA
3 - 1
PSP
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -6 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 2
LUL
81%
11%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |