CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs SAD Villaverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CDO
2 - 1
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 3
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
VAL
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GRI
3 - 0
LUG
47%
24%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
CIE
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SAD Villaverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CDB
4 - 1
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDO
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
ALC
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
GRI
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |