CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDF
1 - 1
LUG
20%
25%
55%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 4
COS
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
IDM
1 - 1
LUG
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
MOS
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 2
LUG
39%
27%
35%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
YEB
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
ARA
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CDF
0 - 1
ARA
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 1
COS
44%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
IDM
2 - 3
ARA
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |