CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
LUG
46%
24%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 2
LEG
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARG
3 - 1
LUG
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
VCJ
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 2
CIE
59%
22%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
CIE
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BET
5 - 0
ARA
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 1
ARY
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
YEB
3 - 4
ARA
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
CDF
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |