CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
LUG
9%
22%
70%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
SSR
18%
26%
56%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADA
1 - 0
LUG
64%
23%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
ALC
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
RVB
0 - 1
PBO
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
POZ
1 - 0
RVB
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RVB
3 - 0
ADP
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 0
RVB
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RVB
3 - 1
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |