CD Lugo Fuenlabrada vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 2
LUG
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 4
VLO
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CDF
2 - 1
LUG
57%
22%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
CLA
36%
26%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
LUG
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 1
ADP
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 0
ALA
45%
24%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VLO
2 - 1
MOS
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 1
CDF
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CLA
1 - 1
MOS
21%
24%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |