Lorenzo Negrín vs UD Playa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorenzo Negrín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
LNE
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LNE
2 - 1
IGU
48%
21%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
STC
0 - 2
LNE
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LNE
4 - 3
SJT
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LNE
0 - 4
ARM
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Playa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 1
MDT
45%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
6 - 4
PLA
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 3
CHI
37%
21%
42%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
3 - 1
PLA
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 1
COR
46%
21%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |